Villanueva vs Cardozo — M15 Mar Del Plata Semi-final

M15 Mar Del Plata · ITF · Semi-final

ARG1

Gonzalo Villanueva

#321ATP

1361ELO

1350Clay ELO

31 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

WWWWWWWLWW

—

Sets

Saturday, 29 August 2026 · 14:00

clay

URU3

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo

#460ATP

1281ELO

1285Clay ELO

21 yrs

Last 10

WWWLWWWWWW

Villanueva G.

Aguilar Cardozo J.

Gonzalo Villanueva faces Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo in the M15 Mar Del Plata semi-final on clay. Gonzalo Villanueva holds the paper edge — ranked #321, leading the head-to-head 2–1, a roughly 70-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC

Villanueva G.50%

Aguilar Cardozo J.50%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Last match: Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo dropped just 4 games past Lorenzo Gagliardo.
Last match: Gonzalo Villanueva edged Santiago De La Fuente in two tight sets (7–6 6–4).
Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva leads the head-to-head 2–1. Last met at M15 Asuncion 2 2026.

Common opponents

Last 12 months

No common opponents in the last 12 months.

Includes tour-level, 125s, qualifying and team events (⚑). Walkovers excluded. Describes past results in different contexts — not a prediction.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Villanueva G.

5.2

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Aguilar Cardozo J.

4.2

Heavy underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

5.8+66 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.2Clay Elo 1285

6.0Overall Elo 1360

ELO gap

4.0Overall Elo 1281

5.3Split 2–2 on clay

H2H

4.7Split 2–2 on clay

7.17 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.66 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

19 vs 19 matches

Statistics

This season

Villanueva G.Aguilar Cardozo J.

1st serve in·Even

61%

63%

1st serve points won·Even

64%

66%

2nd serve points won·Slight edge

46%

52%

Service points won·Even

57%

61%

Return points won·Slight edge

42%

48%

Break points saved·Slight edge

50%

59%

Aces / match·Slight edge

2.1

0.9

Double faults / match·Even

2.1

2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (19 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season

Villanueva G.serving42% hold

wins 47% of points on serve vs Aguilar Cardozo J.

Aguilar Cardozo J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Villanueva G.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Conditions

Weather forecast

18°CMainly clear

Wind 4 km/hHumidity 59%

Head to head

2–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2026-08-22	M15 Asuncion 2	F	clay	Gonzalo Villanueva	6-3 6-1
2026-08-15	M15 Asuncion	F	clay	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	3-6 6-7(5)
2026-06-17	Challenger Men - Singles: Asuncion 2 (Paraguay), Clay	R16	clay	Gonzalo Villanueva	0-6 5-7

Gonzalo Villanueva vs Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo — M15 Mar Del Plata Semi-final