Mia Ristic vs Himeno SakatsumeUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#195WTA
1504ELO
1366Hard ELO
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 1st on
#144WTA
1611ELO
1599Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLWWLL
Ristic M.
4-6 3-6
Sakatsume H.
Ristic M.
430
Sakatsume H.
662

Himeno Sakatsume defeated Mia Ristic in the second round of US Open qualifying, 6-4, 6-3. Sakatsume hit 3 aces and 1 double fault, while converting 50% of her break points and winning 76% of her first-serve points. Ristic had 2 aces, 0 double faults, 80% first-serve win percentage, 33% break points conversion and 1 service break.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
48%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.0
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
19
62
Break points saved·Dominant
35
64
Break points won·Dominant
54
97
Deciding sets·Clear edge
45
62
Tiebreaks·

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Ristic M.43%
Sakatsume H.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.1Hard Elo 1366
Surface ELO
7.9+233 Hard Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1504
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1611
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.55 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
5.15 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
72
69

Ristic M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Sakatsume H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 65%

Draw