Marko Mesarovic vs Preston Stearns — M15 Champaign Quarter-final
M15 Champaign · ITF · Quarter-final
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
Mesarovic M.6-7 3-6
Stearns P.
Mesarovic M.
6630
Stearns P.
7862
Preston Stearns defeated Marko Mesarovic 7-6, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the M15 Champaign tournament. Stearns hit 9 aces to Mesarovic's 2 and converted 25% of break points, compared to Mesarovic's 17%. Stearns won 79% of first-serve points to Mesarovic's 65% and secured 2 service breaks to Mesarovic's 1.
Key context
- Match story: Preston Stearns closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
0–1| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 | M25 Columbus 1 | R16 | hard | Preston Stearns | 6-3 6-4 |
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 17:50 UTCMesarovic M.69%
Stearns P.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Mesarovic M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
Surface form
4.53 of last 7 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.8Won 63% in USA (43)
Country comfort4.7Won 45% in USA (31)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 45%