Vladyslav Orlov vs Mykyta MashtakovM25 Poznan Quarter-final

M25 Poznan · ITF · Quarter-final
#432ATP
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
clay
#646ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
Orlov V.
0-6 7-6 1-6
Mashtakov M.
Orlov V.
07711
Mashtakov M.
66362

Mykyta Mashtakov defeated Vladyslav Orlov in the quarterfinals of the M25 Poznan tournament on clay, winning 6-0, 6-7, 6-1. Mashtakov served 1 ace and committed 2 double faults, while Orlov had 4 aces and 3 double faults. Mashtakov converted 73% of his break points and broke Orlov's serve 8 times, compared to Orlov's 2 service breaks and 100% conversion rate on break points.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-08-17M15 Irpin 3FclayVladyslav Orlov6-3 6-1
2019-05-23M15 Irpin 1QFclayVladyslav Orlov6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
54%
Service points won·Even
59%
63%
Return points won·Even
45%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Orlov V.67%
Mashtakov M.33%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Orlov V. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
3.94 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.53 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Mashtakov M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CPartly cloudy
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw