Tomas Martinez vs Carlos Maria ZarateM15 Mar Del Plata Quarter-final

M15 Mar Del Plata · ITF · Quarter-final
#880ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
clay
#377ATP
1200ELO
1187Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
Martinez T.
4-6 1-6
Maria Zarate C.
Martinez T.
410
Maria Zarate C.
662

Carlos Maria Zarate advanced to the semifinals of the M15 Mar Del Plata quarterfinals after Tomas Martinez retired during their match. At the time of retirement, Zarate led 6-4, 5-1. Zarate converted all four of his break points and won 86% of his first-serve points en route to the win.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
42%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.3
2.7
Double faults / match·Even
4.3
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Martinez T.34%
Maria Zarate C.66%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Maria Zarate C. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
16°CClear
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 69%

Draw