Tena Lukas vs Nastasja SchunkW50 Oldenzaal Quarter-final

W50 Oldenzaal · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#422WTA
1356ELO
1344Clay ELO
31 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWLL
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
clay
#365WTA
1399ELO
1387Clay ELO
23 yrs · 171 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLWLW
Lukas T.
1-6 2-6
Schunk N.
Lukas T.
120
Schunk N.
662

Nastasja Schunk defeated Tena Lukas 6-1, 6-2 in the quarterfinals of the W50 Oldenzaal tournament on clay. Schunk converted 62% of her break points and won 72% of her first-serve points, while Lukas did not convert any break points. Schunk had five service breaks to Lukas' zero, and both players hit two aces, with Schunk committing zero double faults and Lukas three.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
57%
69%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
42%
49%
Service points won·Even
54%
56%
Return points won·Even
48%
46%
Break points saved·Even
50%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.8
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
6.5
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (37 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Lukas T.30%
Schunk N.70%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Schunk N. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1344
Surface ELO
5.5+43 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1356
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1399
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.36 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
69
75

Lukas T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Schunk N.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 47 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
20°CDrizzle
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw