L. Larue vs T. SahtaliM15 Monastir Quarter-final

M15 Monastir · ITF · Quarter-final
#948ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLWLL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
#546ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLWW
Larue L.
6-2 3-6 2-6
Sahtali T.
Larue L.
6321
Sahtali T.
2662

T. Sahtali defeated L. Larue in the quarterfinals of the M15 Monastir tournament, coming back from a set down to win 2-6, 6-3, 6-2. Sahtali converted all 6 of his break points, while Larue converted 4 of 7. Sahtali won 6 service breaks to Larue's 4.

Key context

  • Match story: T. Sahtali dropped the opening set before beating L. Larue 2–6 6–3 6–2.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-23M15 Monastir 36R32hardL. Larue6-4 4-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
67%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
60%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
40%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
51%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
49%
Break points saved·Clear edge
50%
28%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.0
1.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 3). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Larue L.40%
Sahtali T.60%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Sahtali T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
38°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 47%

Draw