Sander Jong vs Luca Wiedenmann — M25 Oldenzaal Quarter-final
M25 Oldenzaal · ITF · Quarter-final
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
clay
Jong S.6-4 6-7 3-6
Wiedenmann L.
Jong S.
66431
Wiedenmann L.
47762
Luca Wiedenmann defeated Sander Jong in the quarterfinals of the M25 Oldenzaal tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-6, 6-3 in favor of Wiedenmann. The players converted an equal number of service breaks, three each.
Key context
- Match story: Luca Wiedenmann dropped the opening set before beating Sander Jong 4–6 7–6 6–3.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
74%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
45%
Service points won·Slight edge
65%
55%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
46%
Break points saved·Even
61%
63%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
3.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.8
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCJong S.44%
Wiedenmann L.56%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.86 of last 10 on clay
Surface form3.84 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Freshness
Recent loadFreshness·
—
93
Wiedenmann L.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 90%