Ariana Geerlings vs Justina Mikulskyte — W75 Bytom Quarter-final
W75 Bytom · ITF · Quarter-final
ESPSEAriana Geerlings
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
clay
Geerlings A.1-6 6-1 3-6
Mikulskyte J.
Geerlings A.
1631
Mikulskyte J.
6162
Justina Mikulskyte advanced to the W75 Bytom quarterfinals with a win over Ariana Geerlings, taking the match 6-1, 1-6, 6-3 on clay. Mikulskyte served 4 aces to Geerlings' 0 and converted 42% of her break points, compared to Geerlings' 36%. Mikulskyte won 5 service breaks to Geerlings' 4.
Key context
- Match story: Justina Mikulskyte closed it out in three sets, 6–1 1–6 6–3.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-04 | W35 Baza 1 | QF | hard | Ariana Geerlings | 6-3 6-1 |
Statistics
This seasonGeerlings A.Mikulskyte J.
1st serve in·
—
61%
1st serve points won·
—
60%
2nd serve points won·
—
45%
Service points won·
—
54%
Return points won·
—
46%
Break points saved·
—
51%
Aces / match·
—
1.8
Double faults / match·
—
3.9
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTCGeerlings A.50%
Mikulskyte J.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchGeerlings A.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H5.0First meeting on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 33%