Vilius Gaubas vs Harry WendelkenUS Open Qualifying Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 32
#120ATP
1581ELO
1560Hard ELO
$279kYTD
$763kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
#196ATP
1551ELO
1560Hard ELO
24 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLLWLL
Gaubas V.
7-6 6-7 6-7
Wendelken H.
Gaubas V.
7765651
Wendelken H.
6377772

Harry Wendelken defeated Vilius Gaubas in the second round of US Open qualifying, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6. The match saw Wendelken record 10 aces and 3 double faults, while converting 27% of break points and winning 82% of first-serve points. Gaubas hit 11 aces and 2 double faults, converting 43% of break points and winning 67% of first-serve points; both players secured 3 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
65%
53%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
70%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
50%
Service points won·Even
60%
61%
Return points won·Even
38%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.2
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Gaubas V.51%
Wendelken H.49%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Hard Elo 1560
Surface ELO
5.0+0 Hard Elo edge
5.4Overall Elo 1581
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1551
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
8.58 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
60
51

Gaubas V.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 80 games (7d) · Wendelken H.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 102 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 67%

Draw