Francesca Jones vs Joanna GarlandUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
#104WTA
1619ELO
1581Hard ELO
25 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 15 · 1st on
#201WTA
1536ELO
1546Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWLLWL
Jones F.
6-4 6-1
Garland J.
Jones F.
662
Garland J.
410

Francesca Jones defeated Joanna Garland 6-4, 6-1 in the second round of US Open qualifying. Jones converted 40% of her break points and won four service breaks to Garland's none. Jones served at 93% and committed two double faults, compared to Garland's four.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
46%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
55%
63%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.6
4.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.6
3.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Jones F.57%
Garland J.43%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.4+36 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1546
6.0Overall Elo 1619
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1536
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.64 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
67
67

Jones F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d) · Garland J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 61%

Draw