Chase Ferguson vs Fumin JiangM15 Maanshan Quarter-final

M15 Maanshan · ITF · Quarter-final
#640ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
#1728ATP
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLLLLLWW
Ferguson C.
5-7 6-4 6-3
Jiang F.
Ferguson C.
5662
Jiang F.
7431

Chase Ferguson defeated Fumin Jiang in the quarterfinals of the M15 Maanshan tournament, coming back from a set down to win 5-7, 6-4, 6-3. Ferguson converted 80 percent of his break points, while Jiang converted 67 percent. Ferguson secured four service breaks to Jiang's two, despite having fewer aces and more efficient serving from both players.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-09M15 Maanshan 9R32hardChase Ferguson6-4 3-6 6-1
2025-09-04M15 Maanshan 8R16hardChase Ferguson6-4 5-7 6-4

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
71%
1st serve points won·
67%
2nd serve points won·
52%
Service points won·
62%
Return points won·
38%
Break points saved·
64%
Aces / match·
2.6
Double faults / match·
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 03:50 UTC
Ferguson C.84%
Jiang F.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Ferguson C. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
4.43 of last 6 on hard
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
34°CDrizzle
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw