Andrew Fenty vs Luis Guto MiguelKingston 2 Quarter-final

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#414ATP
1199ELO
1183Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
Centre Court · 2nd on
#850ATP
1322ELO
1267Hard ELO
17 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWLW
Fenty A.
5-7 5-7
Guto Miguel L.
Fenty A.
550
Guto Miguel L.
772

Luis Guto Miguel defeated Andrew Fenty 7-5, 7-5 in the quarterfinals of the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament. Miguel hit 4 aces and 4 double faults, winning 71 percent of his first serves and converting 58 percent of break points. He broke Fenty's serve 7 times, compared to 5 breaks for Fenty.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
53%
47%
Service points won·Even
63%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Even
57%
54%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.3
3.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 8). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Fenty A.69%
Guto Miguel L.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Fenty A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1183
Surface ELO
6.1+84 Hard Elo edge
3.5Overall Elo 1199
ELO gap
6.5Overall Elo 1322
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
67
60

Fenty A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 63 games (7d) · Guto Miguel L.: played today · 4 matches, 78 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
20°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw