Bu Yunchaokete vs Federico CinaUS Open Qualifying Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 32
#124ATP
1709ELO
1644Hard ELO
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 6 · 1st on
#181ATP
1630ELO
1583Hard ELO
$296kYTD
$536kCAREER
19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWLW
Yunchaokete B.
6-3 4-6 5-7
Cina F.
Yunchaokete B.
6451
Cina F.
3672

Federico Cina defeated Bu Yunchaokete in the second round of US Open qualifying, 3-6, 6-4, 7-5. Cina served 10 aces and committed two double faults, while Bu Yunchaokete had nine aces and five double faults. Both players converted 33% and 100% of their break points respectively, and each won four service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
58%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Even
34%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
72%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
3.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.3
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
3
42
Break points saved·Slight edge
92
87
Break points won·Clear edge
8
32
Deciding sets·Dominant
0
52
Tiebreaks·Dominant
0
28

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Yunchaokete B.56%
Cina F.44%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+61 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1583
6.0Overall Elo 1709
ELO gap
4.0Overall Elo 1630
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.68 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
56
57

Yunchaokete B.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 79 games (7d) · Cina F.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 77 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 60%

Draw