Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo vs Lorenzo GagliardoM15 Mar Del Plata Quarter-final

M15 Mar Del Plata · ITF · Quarter-final
#460ATP
1281ELO
1285Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
clay
#910ATP
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLWWL
Aguilar Cardozo J.
6-1 6-3
Gagliardo L.
Aguilar Cardozo J.
662
Gagliardo L.
130

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo defeated Lorenzo Gagliardo in the quarterfinals of the M15 Mar Del Plata tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 6-3. Aguilar Cardozo did not commit any double faults and won 81% of his first-serve points, while converting 50% of his break points. He secured five service breaks compared to Gagliardo's one.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-08-18M15 Asuncion 2R32clayJoaquin Aguilar Cardozo4-6 0-6

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
63%
1st serve points won·
66%
2nd serve points won·
52%
Service points won·
61%
Return points won·
48%
Break points saved·
59%
Aces / match·
0.9
Double faults / match·
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Aguilar Cardozo J.91%
Gagliardo L.9%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Aguilar Cardozo J. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.66 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
16°CClear
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw