Oleksandr Ovcharenko vs Henry BernetM25 Lausanne Quarter-final

M25 Lausanne · ITF · Quarter-final
#623ATP
24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWLWL
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
clay
#423ATP
1372ELO
1353Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWW
Ovcharenko O.
3-6 6-4 2-6
Bernet H.
Ovcharenko O.
3621
Bernet H.
6462

Henry Bernet advanced to the M25 Lausanne semifinals with a quarterfinal victory over Oleksandr Ovcharenko, winning 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 on clay. Bernet hit 13 aces to Ovcharenko's 2 and converted 50% of his break points, compared to Ovcharenko's 33%. Bernet won 76% of his first-serve points to Ovcharenko's 70%, and secured 3 service breaks to Ovcharenko's 1.

Key context

  • Match story: Henry Bernet closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
67%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
43%
43%
Service points won·Even
59%
58%
Return points won·Even
41%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
4.1
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Ovcharenko O.68%
Bernet H.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Ovcharenko O. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.95 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
92
93

Ovcharenko O.: 11 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Bernet H.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw