Darja Vidmanova vs Nikola BartunkovaMonterrey Quarter-final

Monterrey · WTA · Quarter-final
#90WTA
1675ELO
1665Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
#38WTA
1788ELO
1719Hard ELO
$767kYTD
$973kCAREER
20 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWL
Vidmanova D.
4-6 7-6 3-6
Bartunkova N.
Vidmanova D.
47731
Bartunkova N.
66362

Nikola Bartunkova defeated Darja Vidmanova 6-4, 6-7, 6-3 in the quarterfinals of the Monterrey tournament. Bartunkova hit 6 aces and 8 double faults, winning 75% of her first serves and converting 36% of break points. Vidmanova had 5 aces and 3 double faults, winning 80% of her first serves and converting 18% of break points; she secured 2 service breaks to Bartunkova's 4.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-08GuadalajaraR16hardNikola Bartunkova6-3 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
47%
Service points won·Even
58%
59%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
58%
57%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.4
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (48 vs 45). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Vidmanova D.33%
Bartunkova N.67%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Bartunkova N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.3Hard Elo 1665
Surface ELO
5.7+54 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1674
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1788
2.2Trails 0–2 on hard
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on hard
8.18 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
50
43

Vidmanova D.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 125 games (7d) · Bartunkova N.: played today · 4 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw