Mariia Tkacheva vs Andrea Lola PopovicW15 Hurghada Round of 16

W15 Hurghada · ITF · Round of 16
#721WTA
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
16 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWWLLWL
Tkacheva M.
2-6 6-3 6-3
Lola Popovic A.
Tkacheva M.
2662
Lola Popovic A.
6331

Mariia Tkacheva defeated Andrea Lola Popovic in the Round of 16 at the W15 Hurghada tournament. The match ended with a score of 2-6, 6-3, 6-3 in favor of Tkacheva.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
69%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
37%
Service points won·Even
54%
50%
Return points won·Clear edge
37%
49%
Break points saved·Even
44%
44%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.3
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTC
Tkacheva M.88%
Lola Popovic A.12%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Tkacheva M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.73 of last 7 on hard
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
35°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 41%

Draw