Samuele Pieri vs N. Toffanin — M25 Maribor Round of 16

M25 Maribor · ITF · Round of 16
ITA1
Samuele Pieri
#393ATP
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
ITA
N. Toffanin
#1201ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLLW
Pieri S.
6-1 7-5
Toffanin N.
Pieri S.
672
Toffanin N.
150

Samuele Pieri defeated N. Toffanin in the Round of 16 at the M25 Maribor tournament on clay, winning 6-1, 7-5. Pieri served one ace and committed two double faults, while Toffanin had two aces and one double fault. Pieri converted 33% of break points and broke Toffanin's serve five times, compared to Toffanin's one service break.

Key context

  • Match story: Samuele Pieri came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 7–5.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Pieri S.Toffanin N.
1st serve in·Even
64%
68%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
66%
54%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
41%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
50%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
59%
38%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
0.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Pieri S.84%
Toffanin N.16%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Pieri S. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pieri S.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Toffanin N.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.04 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Pieri S.Toffanin N.
Freshness·
100
—

Pieri S.: 20 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 46%

Draw