Mate Valkusz vs Andrea PaoliniM15 Pecs Round of 16

M15 Pecs · ITF · Round of 16
#767ATP
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#1674ATP
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW
Valkusz M.
6-4 4-6 2-6
Paolini A.
Valkusz M.
6421
Paolini A.
4662

Andrea Paolini advanced to the quarterfinals of the M15 Pecs tournament, defeating Mate Valkusz in a three-set match. Paolini won 4-6, 6-4, 6-2, overcoming a strong performance in aces and first-serve win percentage from Valkusz. Paolini converted 43% of break points and secured three service breaks to Valkusz's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
67%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
65%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
64%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Clear edge
48%
31%
Break points saved·Even
56%
58%
Aces / match·Even
1.0
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:50 UTC
Valkusz M.89%
Paolini A.11%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Valkusz M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.82 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
34°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 26%

Draw