Maria Sara Popa vs Simona OgescuW15 Brasov Round of 16

W15 Brasov · ITF · Round of 16
#413WTA
1412ELO
1395Clay ELO
21 yrs · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#1001WTA
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWLWL
Sara Popa M.
6-0 6-7 6-1
Ogescu S.
Sara Popa M.
66162
Ogescu S.
07711

Maria Sara Popa defeated Simona Ogescu in the Round of 16 at the W15 Brasov tournament on clay. The match ended with a score of 6-0, 6-7, 6-1 in favor of Popa. Key stats included 7 service breaks for Popa compared to 1 for Ogescu.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-07W15 Buzau 1QFclayMaria Sara Popa6-7(6) 6-4 6-3
2020-12-22W15 Antalya 13Q16claySimona Ogescu6-3 6-1

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
63%
66%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
43%
38%
Service points won·Even
56%
55%
Return points won·Even
47%
47%
Break points saved·Even
54%
53%
Aces / match·Even
1.5
1.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
5.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 9). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTC
Sara Popa M.72%
Ogescu S.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Sara Popa M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.35 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
21°CShowers
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 79%

Draw