Federica Urgesi vs Justina MikulskyteW75 Bytom Round of 16

W75 Bytom · ITF · Round of 16
#275WTA
1546ELO
1532Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWLLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#238WTA
1357ELO
1368Clay ELO
30 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLWL
Urgesi F.
6-3 3-6 4-6
Mikulskyte J.
Urgesi F.
6341
Mikulskyte J.
3662

Justina Mikulskyte advanced to the quarterfinals of the W75 Bytom tournament, defeating Federica Urgesi in a three-set match. Mikulskyte won 3-6, 6-3, 6-4. In the match, both players had zero aces and five double faults; Mikulskyte had a 54% first-serve win percentage and converted 39% of break points, while Urgesi had a 66% first-serve win percentage and converted 32% of break points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
69%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
60%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
54%
Return points won·Even
47%
46%
Break points saved·Even
50%
51%
Aces / match·Even
2.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (36 vs 43). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Urgesi F.38%
Mikulskyte J.62%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Mikulskyte J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.1+164 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1368
7.4Overall Elo 1546
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1357
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.97 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 38%

Draw