Panna Udvardy vs Elise MertensMonterrey Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 16
#76WTA
1681ELO
1577Hard ELO
27 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
#24WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$2.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLWWWW
Udvardy P.
1-6 6-4 3-6
Mertens E.
Udvardy P.
1631
Mertens E.
6462

Elise Mertens defeated Panna Udvardy in the Round of 16 at the Monterrey tournament, winning 6-1, 4-6, 6-3 on hard courts. Mertens hit 7 aces to Udvardy's 4 and converted 71% of her break points, compared to Udvardy's 67%. Mertens won 5 service breaks to Udvardy's 2.

Key context

  • Match story: Elise Mertens came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-07RomeR64clayElise Mertens6-4 6-2
2022-06-27WimbledonR64grassElise Mertens3-6 7-6 7-5

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
59%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
55%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
50%
57%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
4.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.8
3.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (35 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
0
72
Break points saved·Dominant
4
65
Break points won·Dominant
57
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
6
71
Tiebreaks·
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Udvardy P.23%
Mertens E.77%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Mertens E. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
1.6Hard Elo 1577
Surface ELO
8.4+271 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1681
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1894
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.44 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
61
55

Udvardy P.: 2 days rest · 4 matches, 102 games (7d) · Mertens E.: played today · 3 matches, 68 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 28%

Draw