Aidan Mayo vs Andres MartinKingston 2 Quarter-final

Kingston 2 · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#581ATP
1380ELO
1359Hard ELO
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Centre Court · 1st on
#323ATP
1337ELO
1332Hard ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWLLWWW
Mayo A.
6-4 6-4
Martin A.
Mayo A.
662
Martin A.
440

Aidan Mayo defeated Andres Martin 6-4, 6-4 in the quarterfinals of the Kingston 2 hard-court tournament. Mayo hit 4 aces and 2 double faults, winning 74% of his first serves and converting 40% of break points. He broke Martin's serve twice en route to the win.

Key context

  • Match story: Aidan Mayo edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
67%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
64%
61%
Return points won·Even
41%
38%
Break points saved·Even
60%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.2
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (11 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
12
26
Break points saved·Slight edge
68
60
Break points won·Clear edge
1
14
Deciding sets·Dominant
7
50
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
52
33

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:50 UTC
Mayo A.55%
Martin A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1332
5.5Overall Elo 1380
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1337
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.26 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
47
58

Mayo A.: played today · 6 matches, 139 games (7d) · Martin A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 82 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
23°CClear
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 89%

Draw