Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li — Monterrey Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 16
Maria Timofeeva
UZBQ
Maria Timofeeva
#92WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLLWW
—
Sets
Walkover
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Ann Li
USA5
Ann Li
#30WTA
1807ELO
1746Hard ELO
$837kYTD
$3.9MCAREER
26 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLWLLW
Timofeeva M.
vs
Li A.

Ann Li advanced to the quarterfinals of the Monterrey tournament with a walkover against Maria Timofeeva in the Round of 16. Timofeeva withdrew before the match, giving Li the win without a contest.

Head to head

0–4
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-14AthensR32hardAnn Li2-6 1-6
2025-05-19RabatR32clayAnn Li7-6 6-2
2025-01-27SingaporeR16hardAnn Li6-3 6-2
2024-10-11W100 Cornella de Llobregat 1QFhardAnn Li4-3

Statistics

This season
Timofeeva M.Li A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
45%
Service points won·Even
56%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
42%
Break points saved·Even
55%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.9
5.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.6
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (41 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Timofeeva M.Li A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
54
41
Break points saved·Dominant
76
27
Break points won·Clear edge
96
79
Deciding sets·Clear edge
59
71
Tiebreaks·Even
20
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Timofeeva M.42%
Li A.58%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Li A. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Timofeeva M.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Li A.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.3Hard Elo 1608
Surface ELO
6.7+138 Hard Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1806
1.8Trails 0–3 on hard
H2H
8.2Leads 3–0 on hard
5.85 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.54 of last 10 on hard
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Timofeeva M.Li A.
Freshness·Slight edge
73
66

Timofeeva M.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 81 games (7d) · Li A.: played today · 3 matches, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw