Jerome Kym vs Colton Smith — US Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
SUI
Jerome Kym
#178ATP
1599ELO
1591Hard ELO
$98kYTD
$740kCAREER
23 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWLW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 5 · 4th on
USA
Colton Smith
#221ATP
1577ELO
1566Hard ELO
$154kYTD
$480kCAREER
23 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLWWL
Kym J.
6-7 6-2 4-6
Smith C.
Kym J.
62641
Smith C.
77262

Colton Smith defeated Jerome Kym in the US Open qualifying round 64. The match ended with a score of 7-6, 2-6, 6-4 in favor of Smith. Smith served 5 aces and committed 5 double faults, while converting 29% of break points and winning 76% of first-serve points; Kym had 9 aces, 6 double faults, 38% break points converted and 68% first-serve points won.

Key context

  • Match story: Colton Smith closed it out in three sets, 7–6 2–6 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Kym J.Smith C.
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
78%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
67%
61%
Return points won·Even
35%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.0
3.6
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Kym J.Smith C.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
36
62
Break points saved·Even
91
94
Break points won·Dominant
21
52
Deciding sets·Dominant
17
92
Tiebreaks·Dominant
80
8

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Kym J.68%
Smith C.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kym J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Kym J.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Smith C.
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+26 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1566
5.3Overall Elo 1598
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1577
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.75 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Kym J.Smith C.
Freshness·Clear edge
74
53

Kym J.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Smith C.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 85 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
22°COvercast
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw