Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Stefanos TsitsipasWinston-Salem Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 16
#89ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$637kYTD
$3.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium Court · 2nd on
#53ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$1000kYTD
$38MCAREER
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLWWW
Kovacevic A.
6-3 7-6
Tsitsipas S.
Kovacevic A.
6772
Tsitsipas S.
3610

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-3, 7-6 in the Round of 16 at the Winston-Salem tournament. Kovacevic converted 17 percent of his break points, while Tsitsipas did not convert any. The match saw Kovacevic serve 13 aces and commit 3 double faults, compared to Tsitsipas' 16 aces and 3 double faults.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-19Los CabosQFhardStefanos Tsitsipas7-6 6-3

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
53%
Service points won·Even
67%
69%
Return points won·Even
31%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.3
6.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 34). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
89
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
99
Break points won·Dominant
0
71
Deciding sets·Dominant
41
99
Tiebreaks·Dominant
51
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Kovacevic A.22%
Tsitsipas S.78%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Tsitsipas S. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.6Hard Elo 1611
Surface ELO
7.4+191 Hard Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1833
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
5.35 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
5.9Won 66% in Usa (32)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
54
78

Kovacevic A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 95 games (7d) · Tsitsipas S.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 45 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
23°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 85%

Draw