Mykyta Mashtakov vs Kirill KivattsevM25 Poznan Round of 16

M25 Poznan · ITF · Round of 16
#646ATP
27 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#567ATP
28 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLWWLLW
Mashtakov M.
6-7 7-6 6-2
Kivattsev K.
Mashtakov M.
667762
Kivattsev K.
786421

Mykyta Mashtakov defeated Kirill Kivattsev 6-7, 7-6, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Poznan tournament on clay. Mashtakov hit 0 aces and 2 double faults, while Kivattsev had 4 aces and 7 double faults. Mashtakov won 8 service breaks to Kivattsev's 6.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
49%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.0
2.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (5 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Mashtakov M.32%
Kivattsev K.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Kivattsev K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.53 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.43 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Mashtakov M.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw