Lucio Ratti vs Sander JongM25 Oldenzaal Round of 16

M25 Oldenzaal · ITF · Round of 16
#375ATP
1374ELO
1350Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLWWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#680ATP
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLWW
Ratti L.
2-6 0-6
Jong S.
Ratti L.
200
Jong S.
662

Sander Jong defeated Lucio Ratti 6-2, 6-0 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Oldenzaal tournament on clay. Jong hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 76% of his first serves and converting 62% of break points. He broke Ratti's serve 5 times en route to the victory.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
66%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
62%
65%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.0
4.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.9
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 10). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Ratti L.46%
Jong S.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.15 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.86 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Ratti L.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 55%

Draw