Henrique Rocha vs Lloyd Harris — US Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 64
POR
Henrique Rocha
#119ATP
1676ELO
1574Hard ELO
$199kYTD
$883kCAREER
22 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWLLLLL
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 10 · 4th on
Lloyd Harris
RSA
Lloyd Harris
#139ATP
1665ELO
1640Hard ELO
$130kYTD
$4.7MCAREER
29 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWWWW
Rocha H.
6-2 2-6 6-7
Harris L.
Rocha H.
626101
Harris L.
267122

Lloyd Harris defeated Henrique Rocha in the US Open qualifying round 64. Harris won 2-6, 6-2, 7-6. Harris served 5 aces and 4 double faults, while Rocha served 3 aces and 1 double fault; Harris converted 60% of break points and Rocha converted 30%.

Around the match

  • “It's always such an amazing place to be here. I never expected to be back on this court, so it was just a really cool moment. This is such a bonus for us to be out here and to play with Carlos is honestly so cool.”

    Harris L.Field Level Media ↗

  • “Everyone could see how nervous I was. I made a double fault on the first point. I was really, really nervous…. I was out for almost five months. I almost forgot how it felt to step on court once again.”

    Harris L.Field Level Media ↗

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Rocha H.Harris L.
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
69%
Aces / match·Dominant
2.5
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (30 vs 19). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rocha H.Harris L.
Clutch Rating·Even
45
48
Break points saved·Clear edge
67
89
Break points won·Clear edge
25
12
Deciding sets·Dominant
57
95
Tiebreaks·Dominant
86
25

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 20:50 UTC
Rocha H.39%
Harris L.61%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Harris L. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rocha H.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Harris L.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Hard Elo 1574
Surface ELO
5.8+66 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1676
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1665
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.25 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.69 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R64 here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rocha H.Harris L.
Freshness·Clear edge
68
46

Rocha H.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 51 games (7d) · Harris L.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 76%

Draw