Santiago Giamichelle vs Carlos Maria ZarateM15 Mar Del Plata Round of 16

M15 Mar Del Plata · ITF · Round of 16
#1348ATP
22 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWLWWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#377ATP
1200ELO
1187Clay ELO
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWLWLW
Giamichelle S.
3-6 5-7
Maria Zarate C.
Giamichelle S.
350
Maria Zarate C.
672

Carlos Maria Zarate defeated Santiago Giamichelle 6-3, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Mar Del Plata. Zarate hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, winning 81% of his first serves and converting 60% of break points. Giamichelle had 4 aces and 1 double fault, winning 65% of his first serves and converting 50% of break points; Zarate broke Giamichelle's serve 3 times, while Giamichelle broke Zarate's serve once.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-16M15 Villa ConstitucionR16clayCarlos Maria Zarate3-6 6-7(4)

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
54%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
41%
47%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
59%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.7
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (3 vs 21). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTC
Giamichelle S.25%
Maria Zarate C.75%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Maria Zarate C. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
H2H
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
18°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 58%

Draw