Toby Samuel defeated Cristian Garin in the second round of US Open qualifying, 4-6, 6-4, 5-0. Samuel converted all five of his break points and won five service breaks to Garin's three. Samuel hit four aces and two double faults in the match, compared to Garin's three aces and four double faults.
Garin returns to competition after a three-month injury layoff and has shown encouraging form with two wins in New York this week.
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No previous meetings on record.
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (33 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Clear favourite · Samuel T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About