Arthur Fery vs Mees Rottgering — Winston-Salem Round of 16

Winston-Salem · ATP · Round of 16
GBR4
Arthur Fery
#37ATP
1721ELO
1685Hard ELO
$344kYTD
$884kCAREER
24 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLWLWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Stadium Court · 3rd on
NEDQ
Mees Rottgering
#389ATP
1468ELO
1449Hard ELO
19 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWLW
Fery A.
6-3 6-3
Rottgering M.
Fery A.
662
Rottgering M.
330

Arthur Fery advanced to the quarterfinals of the Winston-Salem tournament with a 6-3, 6-3 victory over Mees Rottgering in the Round of 16. Fery hit two aces and one double fault, while Rottgering had no aces and six double faults. Fery converted 44 percent of his break points and won four service breaks to Rottgering's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Fery A.Rottgering M.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
62%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
57%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.7
3.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:50 UTC
Fery A.80%
Rottgering M.20%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Fery A. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fery A.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Rottgering M.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+236 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 1449
8.2Overall Elo 1721
ELO gap
1.8Overall Elo 1468
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
8.38 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Fery A.Rottgering M.
Freshness·Clear edge
55
67

Fery A.: played today · 4 matches, 80 games (7d) · Rottgering M.: 3 days rest · 5 matches, 99 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
30°CPartly cloudy
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 49%

Draw