Sayaka Ishii vs Alice Ferlito — W15 Torello Round of 16
W15 Torello · ITF · Round of 16
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Ishii S.2-6 6-2 4-6
Ferlito A.
Ishii S.
2641
Ferlito A.
6262
Alice Ferlito defeated Sayaka Ishii 6-2, 2-6, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Torello. Ferlito hit one ace and two double faults, while Ishii had two aces and 11 double faults. Ferlito converted 86% of her break points and won six service breaks to Ishii's five.
Key context
- Match story: Alice Ferlito closed it out in three sets, 6–2 2–6 6–4.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
54%
2nd serve points won·Even
41%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
54%
49%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
51%
Break points saved·Slight edge
47%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.2
1.4
Double faults / match·Even
6.3
6.2
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCIshii S.77%
Ferlito A.23%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Ishii S. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
4.65 of last 10 on hard
Surface form0.0Lost last 7
Win streak0.0Lost last 2
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 69%