Chase Ferguson vs Hanyi Liu — M15 Maanshan Round of 16
M15 Maanshan · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Ferguson C.6-3 6-2
Liu H.
Ferguson C.
662
Liu H.
320
Chase Ferguson defeated Hanyi Liu 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Maanshan hard-court tournament. Ferguson served four aces and committed one double fault, while converting 26% of break points and winning 65% of first-serve points. He secured five service breaks to Liu's two.
Key context
- Match story: Chase Ferguson dropped just 5 games past Hanyi Liu.
Head to head
1–0| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-24 | M25 Huzhou 1 | QF | hard | Chase Ferguson | 6-2 6-2 |
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Even
71%
73%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
75%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.0
1.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 2). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 09:50 UTCFerguson C.86%
Liu H.14%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Ferguson C. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.43 of last 6 on hard
Surface form2.42 of last 10 on hard
0.0Lost last 2
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
30°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 73%