Aziz Dougaz vs Andrea GuerrieriUS Open Qualifying Round of 32

US Open · ATP · Qualifying Round of 32
#520ATP
1390ELO
1374Hard ELO
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWWWLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 14 · 1st on
#187ATP
1545ELO
1393Hard ELO
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWWLWWWW
Dougaz A.
2-6 4-6
Guerrieri A.
Dougaz A.
240
Guerrieri A.
662

Andrea Guerrieri defeated Aziz Dougaz in the second round of US Open qualifying, 6-2, 6-4. Guerrieri converted three of nine break points and won 82 percent of her first-serve points to secure the win. Guerrieri had three aces and three double faults, while Dougaz had six aces and two double faults.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2020-01-30M15 Monastir 4R16hardAndrea Guerrieri6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
59%
64%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
46%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
33%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
69%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
1.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.6
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (9 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
8
62
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
80
Break points won·Dominant
2
40
Deciding sets·Dominant
2
84
Tiebreaks·
4

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Dougaz A.55%
Guerrieri A.45%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1374
Surface ELO
5.2+19 Hard Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1390
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1545
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
8.08 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
0.04 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year
Opponent rise
5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
66
62

Dougaz A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 66 games (7d) · Guerrieri A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 74 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw