Stefan Popovic vs Sebastian Dominko — M25 Maribor Round of 16
M25 Maribor · ITF · Round of 16
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
Popovic S.1-6 2-6
Dominko S.
Popovic S.
120
Dominko S.
662
Sebastian Dominko defeated Stefan Popovic 6-1, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Maribor tournament on clay. Dominko hit 8 aces and converted 40% of his break points, while also securing 4 service breaks. He won 86% of his first-serve points, compared to 50% for Popovic.
Key context
- Match story: Sebastian Dominko dropped just 3 games past Stefan Popovic.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
57%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
50%
Service points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
36%
Break points saved·Even
63%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
8.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.0
3.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCPopovic S.64%
Dominko S.36%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Slight edge · Popovic S. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
5.05 of last 10 on clay
Surface form1.92 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
30°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 46%