Kateryna Diatlova vs Warona Mdlulwa — W15 Hurghada Round of 16
W15 Hurghada · ITF · Round of 16
UKR8Kateryna Diatlova
#912WTA
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Diatlova K.6-4 6-1
Mdlulwa W.
Diatlova K.
662
Mdlulwa W.
410
Kateryna Diatlova defeated Warona Mdlulwa 6-4, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the W15 Hurghada tournament. Diatlova secured 4 service breaks to Mdlulwa's 1. Diatlova hit 2 aces and 3 double faults, while Mdlulwa had no aces and 3 double faults.
Key context
- Match story: Kateryna Diatlova dropped just 5 games past Warona Mdlulwa.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonDiatlova K.Mdlulwa W.
1st serve in·Slight edge
58%
49%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
76%
52%
2nd serve points won·Dominant
48%
23%
Service points won·Dominant
64%
37%
Return points won·Even
39%
41%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
38%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
0.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
7.5
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (1 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTCDiatlova K.83%
Mdlulwa W.17%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Strong favourite · Diatlova K. heavily favoured
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchDiatlova K.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
3.53 of last 9 on hard
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 40%