Cezar Cretu vs Marvin MoellerAugsburg Quarter-final

Augsburg · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#289ATP
1524ELO
1492Clay ELO
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
Centre Court · 2nd on
#274ATP
1396ELO
1383Clay ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLLWWWWLW
Cretu C.
6-4 6-3
Moeller M.
Cretu C.
662
Moeller M.
430

Cezar Cretu defeated Marvin Moeller in the quarterfinals of the Augsburg tournament on clay, winning 6-4, 6-3. Cretu converted 60% of his break points, compared to 25% for Moeller, and achieved three service breaks to Moeller's one. Cretu had 2 aces and 2 double faults, while Moeller had 3 aces and 4 double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: Cezar Cretu closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
65%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
62%
64%
Return points won·Even
45%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.5
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
25
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
33
43
Break points won·Clear edge
64
44
Deciding sets·Dominant
31
73
Tiebreaks·
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Cretu C.58%
Moeller M.42%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
6.4+109 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Clay Elo 1383
6.6Overall Elo 1524
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1396
4.8Split 1–1 on clay
H2H
5.2Split 1–1 on clay
4.74 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
61
70

Cretu C.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 80 games (7d) · Moeller M.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 57 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
27°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 54%

Draw