Fiona Crawley vs Julia GrabherPhilly Open - Philadelphia Quarter-final

Philly Open - Philadelphia · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#264WTA
1591ELO
1550Hard ELO
24 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWLW
0 — 2
Sets
Friday, 28 August 2026 ·
hard
#114WTA
1613ELO
1486Hard ELO
30 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLWWL
Crawley F.
4-6 3-6
Grabher J.
Crawley F.
430
Grabher J.
662

Julia Grabher defeated Fiona Crawley in the quarterfinals of the Philly Open in Philadelphia. Grabher won the match 6-4, 6-3. In the match, Grabher hit 2 aces and 6 double faults, while Crawley had 0 aces and 1 double fault; Grabher converted 71% of her break points and broke Crawley's serve 5 times, compared to Crawley's 3 service breaks and 33% break point conversion rate.

Key context

  • Match story: Julia Grabher closed it out in two sets, 6–4 6–3.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
61%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
42%
Service points won·Even
55%
54%
Return points won·Even
48%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
53%
Aces / match·Even
0.9
1.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.9
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 37). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 19:50 UTC
Crawley F.48%
Grabher J.52%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.8+64 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1486
4.7Overall Elo 1591
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1613
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
7.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.24 of last 10 on hard
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.2Won 70% in USA (91)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
62

Crawley F.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d) · Grabher J.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 90 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
21°CPartly cloudy
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 94%

Draw