Ryan Colby vs J. Vrba — M15 Champaign Round of 16
M15 Champaign · ITF · Round of 16
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
CZEQJ. Vrba
#1463ATP
21 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLWLW
Colby R.6-4 6-7 5-7
Vrba J.
Colby R.
66451
Vrba J.
47772
Jiri Vrba advanced to the quarterfinals of the M15 Champaign tournament with a three-set win over Ryan Colby, 4-6, 7-6, 7-5. Vrba and Colby were even in aces, double faults, and service breaks, but Vrba converted 50% of his break points to Colby's 25%.
Key context
- Match story: J. Vrba dropped the opening set before beating Ryan Colby 4–6 7–6 7–5.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonColby R.Vrba J.
1st serve in·Even
54%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
65%
62%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
44%
Service points won·Even
58%
54%
Return points won·Even
40%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
58%
70%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
2.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
4.6
4.0
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (7 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 15:50 UTCColby R.50%
Vrba J.50%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Toss-up · Too close to call
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedVrba J.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
1.91 of last 6 on hard
Surface form0.0
Win streak0.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.6Won 60% in USA (30)
Country comfortContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 63%