Maja Chwalinska vs Alycia ParksMonterrey Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 16
#21WTA
1833ELO
1736Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$2.6MCAREER
24 yrs · 164 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
#89WTA
1648ELO
1639Hard ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLLWWL
Chwalinska M.
6-3 2-6 2-6
Parks A.
Chwalinska M.
6221
Parks A.
3662

Alycia Parks defeated Maja Chwalinska in the Round of 16 at the Monterrey tournament, coming back from a set down to win 3-6, 6-2, 6-2. Parks served 10 aces to Chwalinska's 1 and converted 67% of her break points, while Chwalinska converted 100% of her break points. Parks won 73% of her first-serve points to Chwalinska's 66%, and she secured 4 service breaks to Chwalinska's 2.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
61%
69%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
51%
43%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Slight edge
50%
41%
Break points saved·Even
54%
57%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.4
6.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (43 vs 44). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
65
0
Break points saved·Dominant
50
12
Break points won·Dominant
98
23
Deciding sets·Dominant
80
7
Tiebreaks·
49

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 00:50 UTC
Chwalinska M.69%
Parks A.31%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Chwalinska M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+96 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1639
7.3Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
2.7Overall Elo 1648
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.27 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
4.85 of last 10 on hard
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
80
64

Chwalinska M.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d) · Parks A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 70 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw