Matyas Cerny vs Karol FilarM25 Poznan Round of 16

M25 Poznan · ITF · Round of 16
#771ATP
24 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#573ATP
27 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLWW
Cerny M.
6-4 6-7 6-4
Filar K.
Cerny M.
66962
Filar K.
471141

Matyas Cerny defeated Karol Filar 6-4, 6-7, 6-4 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Poznan tournament on clay. Cerny hit 4 aces and 5 double faults, while converting 55% of break points and winning 66% of first-serve points. Filar had 3 aces and 9 double faults, converting 31% of break points and winning 68% of first-serve points.

Key context

  • Match story: Matyas Cerny edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–7 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
70%
67%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
51%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
62%
56%
Return points won·Even
42%
44%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
43%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.1
3.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 5). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTC
Cerny M.32%
Filar K.68%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Filar K. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.2
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
2.12 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Cerny M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw