M. Savano vs Niccolo CatiniM25 Poznan Round of 16

M25 Poznan · ITF · Round of 16
#1639ATP
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#878ATP
28 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWWLWWLL
Savano M.
7-5 6-2
Catini N.
Savano M.
762
Catini N.
520

In the Round of 16 at the M25 Poznan clay tournament, M. Savano defeated Niccolo Catini with a score of 7-5, 6-2. Savano converted 83% of his break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Catini's two breaks and 33% break point conversion rate. Savano also had one ace and two double faults, while Catini had two aces and five double faults.

Key context

  • Match story: M. Savano closed it out in two sets, 7–5 6–2.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
56%
75%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
61%
37%
2nd serve points won·Clear edge
49%
67%
Service points won·Clear edge
56%
44%
Return points won·Clear edge
38%
17%
Break points saved·Slight edge
42%
50%
Aces / match·Clear edge
2.5
0.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.0
1.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (4 vs 1). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Savano M.36%
Catini N.64%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Catini N. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
3.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
Surface form
0.00 of last 5 on clay
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather
24°CClear
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw