Lorenzo Carboni vs Nicolas UlrichM25 Lausanne Round of 16

M25 Lausanne · ITF · Round of 16
#478ATP
1161ELO
1166Clay ELO
20 yrs · 168 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
SUIQ
Nicolas Ulrich
20 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWLLWLLLL
Carboni L.
6-2 6-1
Ulrich N.
Carboni L.
662
Ulrich N.
210

Lorenzo Carboni defeated Nicolas Ulrich 6-2, 6-1 in the Round of 16 at the M25 Lausanne clay court tournament. Carboni hit one ace and no double faults, while Ulrich had no aces and five double faults. Carboni won 71% of his first-serve points and converted 70% of his break points, compared to Ulrich's 32% and 50%, respectively.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
Carboni L.Ulrich N.
1st serve in·
61%
1st serve points won·
64%
2nd serve points won·
47%
Service points won·
57%
Return points won·
39%
Break points saved·
53%
Aces / match·
1.8
Double faults / match·
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Carboni L.90%
Ulrich N.10%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Carboni L. heavily favoured

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Ulrich N.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
0.0
Win streak
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carboni L.Ulrich N.
Freshness·
100

Carboni L.: 18 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw