Cristina Bucsa vs Darja VidmanovaMonterrey Round of 16

Monterrey · WTA · Round of 16
#40WTA
1722ELO
1710Hard ELO
$900kYTD
$5.0MCAREER
28 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLLLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
#90WTA
1675ELO
1665Hard ELO
23 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWWW
Bucsa C.
4-6 5-7
Vidmanova D.
Bucsa C.
450
Vidmanova D.
672

Darja Vidmanova defeated Cristina Bucsa 6-4, 7-5 in the Round of 16 at the Monterrey hard-court tournament. Vidmanova and Bucsa were even in aces and double faults, but Vidmanova won more points on her first serve and converted more break points en route to the win. Vidmanova secured 7 service breaks to Bucsa's 5.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian WellsR128hardCristina Bucsa6-4 6-0

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
64%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
40%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
53%
58%
Return points won·Even
45%
45%
Break points saved·Clear edge
43%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
0.9
4.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.1
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 48). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 23:50 UTC
Bucsa C.45%
Vidmanova D.55%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.6+45 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.4Hard Elo 1665
5.6Overall Elo 1722
ELO gap
4.4Overall Elo 1674
7.0Leads 1–0 on hard
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on hard
4.04 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.98 of last 10 on hard
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
79
50

Bucsa C.: 2 days rest · 2 matches, 41 games (7d) · Vidmanova D.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 125 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
35°CClear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 31%

Draw