Carson Branstine vs Robin MontgomeryUS Open Qualifying Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Qualifying Round of 64
CAN
Carson Branstine
#565WTA
25 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLLLWW
1 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
hard
Court 11 · 1st on
#187WTA
1739ELO
1649Hard ELO
21 yrs · 178 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLWWWWW
Branstine C.
6-2 2-6 2-6
Montgomery R.
Branstine C.
6221
Montgomery R.
2662

Robin Montgomery defeated Carson Branstine in the second round of US Open qualifying, 2-6, 6-2, 6-2. Montgomery served 4 aces and committed 5 double faults, while winning 70 percent of her first serves. She converted 38 percent of break points and won 5 service breaks to Branstine's 3.

Key context

  • Match story: Robin Montgomery dropped the opening set before beating Carson Branstine 2–6 6–2 6–2.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2019-03-08W15 Carson 1QFhardCarson Branstine2-6 6-1 6-3

Statistics

This season
Branstine C.Montgomery R.
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
40%
44%
Service points won·Even
55%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
44%
Break points saved·Dominant
33%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.0
5.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.0
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (2 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Branstine C.24%
Montgomery R.76%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Montgomery R. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Branstine C.
5.2
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0First meeting on hard
H2H
5.0First meeting on hard
4.03 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.17 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Branstine C.Montgomery R.
Freshness·Even
70
72

Branstine C.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Montgomery R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 59 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
23°CRain
Wind 17 km/hHumidity 87%

Draw