Mathieu Scaglia vs Jaume Casas Blasi — M15 Cap d'Agde Round of 16
M15 Cap d'Agde · ITF · Round of 16
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
ESPQJaume Casas Blasi
18 yrs
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWLLLW
Scaglia M.6-7 6-3 6-2
Casas Blasi J.
Scaglia M.
65662
Casas Blasi J.
77321
Mathieu Scaglia defeated Jaume Casas Blasi 6-7, 6-3, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Cap d'Agde. Scaglia hit 3 aces and 4 double faults, winning 76 percent of his first-serve points and converting 40 percent of his break points. Scaglia won 6 service breaks to 3 for Casas Blasi.
Key context
- Match story: Mathieu Scaglia dropped the opening set before beating Jaume Casas Blasi 6–7 6–3 6–2.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This seasonScaglia M.Casas Blasi J.
1st serve in·
57%
—
1st serve points won·
77%
—
2nd serve points won·
52%
—
Service points won·
66%
—
Return points won·
41%
—
Break points saved·
73%
—
Aces / match·
5.7
—
Double faults / match·
4.0
—
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 07:50 UTCScaglia M.71%
Casas Blasi J.29%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Scaglia M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedCasas Blasi J.
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited- Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
0.0Lost last 2
Win streakContext
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
28°COvercast
Wind 21 km/hHumidity 81%