Blu Baker vs Henry BernetM25 Lausanne Round of 16

M25 Lausanne · ITF · Round of 16
#972ATP
25 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWLLWL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
#423ATP
1372ELO
1353Clay ELO
19 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWLWLLWWWW
Baker B.
3-6 2-6
Bernet H.
Baker B.
320
Bernet H.
662

Henry Bernet advanced to the quarterfinals of the M25 Lausanne with a 6-3, 6-2 victory over Blu Baker in the Round of 16. Bernet hit 12 aces and won 89% of his first serves, converting all four of his break point opportunities. Bernet won the match with four service breaks to Baker's one.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·
59%
1st serve points won·
68%
2nd serve points won·
43%
Service points won·
58%
Return points won·
37%
Break points saved·
52%
Aces / match·
4.1
Double faults / match·
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window. ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:50 UTC
Baker B.62%
Bernet H.38%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Baker B. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.1
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.75 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
5.56 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
93

Bernet H.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 5 km/hHumidity 44%

Draw