Maxime Chazal vs Daniel Bagnolini — M15 Cap d'Agde Round of 16
M15 Cap d'Agde · ITF · Round of 16
FRA1#425ATP
1294ELO
1262Clay ELO
33 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 27 August 2026 ·
clay
Chazal M.6-4 6-2
Bagnolini D.
Chazal M.
662
Bagnolini D.
420
Maxime Chazal defeated Daniel Bagnolini 6-4, 6-2 in the Round of 16 at the M15 Cap d'Agde. Chazal converted 62% of his break points and won 67% of his first-serve points to secure the win. He achieved 5 service breaks to Bagnolini's 2.
Key context
- Match story: Maxime Chazal dropped just 6 games past Daniel Bagnolini.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
This season1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
73%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
57%
Service points won·Slight edge
64%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
30%
Break points saved·Even
56%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.3
1.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.8
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (8 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 10:50 UTCChazal M.68%
Bagnolini D.32%
Toss-up
50–58%
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+
80%+
Clear favourite · Chazal M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model (out-of-sample validated). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-match5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limitedForm & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H5.0No prior meetings
2.02 of last 10 on clay
Surface form2.93 of last 9 on clay
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak0.0Lost last 3
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts5.0Didn't play here last year
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Conditions
Weather
27°CClear
Wind 38 km/hHumidity 83%